Tag: #GA123

Following last week’s debate and the recent Supreme Court decisions, I have received numerous inquiries regarding my perspective on how these two events might influence down-ballot races. I took some time to crunch the numbers, and I found something that fills me with great hope for the future of our democracy: the engagement of young voters and the emergence of a new political landscape in America. Nowhere is this more evident than in southern states like Tennessee and its U.S. Senate race. This transformation is a reflection of the changing dynamics in our society, as highlighted by the Harvard Youth Poll and the grassroots efforts led by candidates like Marquita Bradshaw.

 Insights from the Harvard Youth Poll

The Spring 2024 Harvard Youth Poll offers us a glimpse into the hearts and minds of young Americans aged 18 to 29. These young people are resolutely committed to participating in the upcoming elections, and their voices are reshaping our political terrain. President Biden leads former President Trump by eight percentage points among all young adults, with a significant 19-point lead among likely voters. This engagement mirrors what we saw in 2020, demonstrating that our young people are deeply invested in the political process.

They are acutely aware of critical issues—economy, foreign policy, immigration, and climate change. Economic concerns and housing dominate their minds, reflecting a generation grappling with complex social and economic realities. Domestically, they recognize the immigration crisis at the Southern border but largely oppose building a border wall, viewing immigrants as enriching the culture of our great nation. Despite declining trust in institutions, young Americans remain committed to engaging with political institutions and driving change.

 The Tectonic Shift in Political Landscape

We are witnessing a tectonic shift in the political landscape of the United States, driven by changing demographics and voting trends. In recent years, the Democratic Party has made significant gains, particularly among voters of color and other progressive demographics. Evidence-based data reveals a transformation that mirrors the trends we saw in 2006, with the potential for substantial gains in future elections.

A number of GOP House members represent districts won by President Obama. Redistricting has placed a significant number of voters of color in districts that can influence elections. These districts present prime opportunities for progressive candidates with compelling messages to break through. The hyper-polarized political environment and recent redistricting, which packed Republican districts to be smaller and whiter, have solidified the fundamentals faster and left fewer surprises.

 Conclusion

This moment calls for unity, determination, and a steadfast commitment to justice and progress. Young Americans are stepping up, and with their energy and passion, we can look forward to a brighter, more inclusive future for our nation. The engagement of young voters and the rise of new political dynamics, particularly in states like Tennessee, demonstrate that change is not only possible but inevitable. With leaders like Marquita Bradshaw at the forefront, we are reminded that with determination, unity, and an unwavering commitment to justice, anything is possible. Tennessee stands as a beacon of hope, demonstrating that a brighter, more just future is within reach. #BeThe1st

———————————————————————

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

In Tennessee, a story of resilience and hope is unfolding, driven by the creation of BlueOval City and the unyielding spirit of the Volunteer State. Despite formidable opposition, the movement for a better Tennessee thrives, led by social justice organizing and Marquita Bradshaw, whose journey from grassroots advocate to U.S. Senate candidate embodies the relentless pursuit of justice and equity.

BlueOval City: A Catalyst for Change

Ford Motor Company is leading an electric revolution with BlueOval City, an innovative automotive manufacturing ecosystem in West Tennessee. This facility, home to the Tennessee Electric Vehicle Center, will produce the next generation of all-electric trucks and reimagine the design, construction, and recycling of electric vehicles and batteries. Ford’s investment in clean, carbon-neutral manufacturing will transform the local economy and environment, attracting workers who prioritize sustainability and innovation.

The establishment of BlueOval City represents a shift toward a greener future, aligning with the broader Democratic agenda and likely increasing support for Democratic candidates. The influx of engineers, tech professionals, and environmentally conscious individuals will reshape Tennessee’s political landscape, fostering a more progressive and inclusive community.

Marquita Bradshaw: A Beacon of Hope

Marquita Bradshaw’s journey from grassroots advocate to U.S. Senate candidate embodies the relentless pursuit of justice and equity. In 2020, she made history by winning the U.S. Senate primary, a victory underscored by the power of grassroots organizing. Her campaign, rooted in environmental justice, economic equity, and clean energy, resonated deeply with Tennesseans, demonstrating the growing strength of progressive movements in the state.

As Bradshaw runs for the U.S. Senate once again, her platform focuses on promoting fair wages, justice through environmental infrastructure, protecting public schools against vouchers, and healthcare accessibility. Her commitment to clean energy solutions and educational excellence reflects a vision for a healthier and more equitable Tennessee. Bradshaw’s candidacy is a beacon of hope, showing that with determination and unity, transformative change is possible.

Engaging Young Voters

As BlueOval City brings new opportunities to Tennessee, it also plays a crucial role in engaging young voters, particularly those of color. Bradshaw’s campaign has heavily focused on mobilizing this demographic, recognizing their importance in driving change. Recent polls have shown significant support for progressive candidates among young voters, who are drawn to issues of environmental justice, economic equity, and clean energy.

Training young political organizers to micro-target voters of color has been a key strategy. Inspired by the successes of the Obama campaigns, these efforts aim to energize 18-29-year-old voters, whose engagement is vital for influencing policy and driving progressive change. This demographic’s support for candidates like Bradshaw is evident in recent surveys, highlighting their critical role in shaping Tennessee’s political future.

The Role of Strategic Coalitions

The murder of George Floyd ignited a powerful movement across the country, and Tennessee was no exception. The People’s Plaza occupation in Nashville, which lasted 62 days, demanded reforms and the removal of Confederate monuments. This protest was a pivotal moment in Tennessee organizing, setting the stage for this election. Kermit Moore, president of the Memphis chapter of the NAACP, recalls the People’s Plaza protest as the beginning of a new era. This movement brought together unlikely allies, bridging urban, suburban, and rural communities in a united front against injustice.

The aftermath of the protest in Nashville saw the emergence of a broad, unified movement. Students, activists, and veterans of the civil rights movement came together, demonstrating the power of coalition-building. While the A. Philip Randolph Institute and the Coalition of Black Trade Unionists were often seen as the leaders, it was the collective effort of many that truly drove change. Vonda McDaniel, of the Central Labor Council of Nashville and Middle Tennessee, emphasizes the importance of sustained collaboration. Tennessee for All, a statewide coalition, embodies this spirit of unity, pushing for an intersectional movement that bridges divides and fosters solidarity.

Conclusion

Tennessee’s tradition of social justice organizing is alive and well, despite the challenges it faces. The state’s history of resistance, coupled with contemporary coalition-building efforts and a new voting class emerging through Ford’s BlueOval City, provides a blueprint for transformative change across the South. The movement in Tennessee is not just about reclaiming the state from far-right conservatism; it is about building a brighter, more just future for all Tennesseans. With leaders like Marquita Bradshaw at the forefront, Tennessee is poised to lead the way, showing that with determination, unity, and an unwavering commitment to justice, anything is possible. #BeThe1st

———————————————————–

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

Friends, let me tell you, there’s something truly special about the basketball tournament season. It’s a time when we all come together, filling out those bracket sheets for the WNBA and NBA tournaments, dreaming big for our favorite teams. The magic is in spotting those “Cinderellas” like the Cleveland Cavilers or “underdogs” who rise above the odds and pull off the impossible.

As we edge closer to the final four teams, it’s clear that many long shots won’t make it. Yet, we persist, reworking our brackets with fresh stats, deeper insights, and a bit more heart. Sometimes, we just have to trust our gut.

Watching the elite eight match-up in the NBA got me thinking about Ohio, my home state, and its electoral journey. It reminded me of the times Representatives Marcy Kaptur and former “underdog” Congresswoman Joyce Beatty found themselves in the thick of it during Congress’s low 10% approval rating back in 2012.

Did their electoral outcomes reflect the voters’ instincts? There’s no denying that the sentiment against Washington’s gridlock—be it the debt ceiling standoffs, stalled educational reforms, climate change inaction, or the attacks on women’s healthcare—will resonate in the 2024 elections.

As our economy recovers, and with the rise of U.S. semiconductor chip manufacturing becoming this year’s “Cinderella story,” there’s a renewed sense of hope. Toledo alone has seen an addition of manufacturing jobs. General Motors and Chrysler are hiring more workers, and unemployment has dropped to 3.7%. With the “Chips Act” in motion, manufacturing will soon constitute 18.3% of Ohio’s economy. Middle and working-class voters are moving away from the divisive politics of old, looking instead for leaders who offer economically sound policies.

To win the heartland, politicians need to reignite Franklin Roosevelt’s “Lunch Pail / Hard Hat Coalition.” This modern coalition, embracing progressive Whites, Latinos, African Americans, Asians, Native Americans, unions, and young voters, is the way forward.

Remember the 2006 elections? We saw governorships and Senate seats flip to blue in states like Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Missouri. That was the “Lunch Pail Coalition” at work, with Voters of Color (VOC) playing a critical role. In Ohio’s Cuyahoga County, for instance, VOC made up 14% of the electorate.

Ohio has a rich history of this coalition. African American mayors have led cities like Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, Toledo, Dayton, Youngstown, and Mansfield. This coalition has consistently elected candidates of color, showing the power of unity and shared purpose.

Looking towards November 2024, I remain hopeful. Despite the 2020 census showing a loss of voters, cities like Columbus have grown by 10.6%, adding over 145,000 “key” Voters of Color. This demographic was pivotal in Joyce Beatty’s historic win as the first African American Congressperson from central Ohio. Her success in the 3rd Congressional District showcased the strength of the “Lunch Pail Coalition,” as she mobilized VOC precincts, winning all but one of the twenty highest-turnout precincts.

As we prepare for the upcoming elections, it’s clear that middle and working-class voters have little patience for Congressional obstruction. Why should they? Ohio will see new manufacturing jobs in the future. Just imagine how many more could be created if Congress worked together. As Beatty said on election night, “Our voice will be part of doing new things.” We need leaders who get things done.

So, as we root for our underdogs and fill out our brackets, let’s remember that the real victory lies in electing leaders who listen to the people and work for a better future. It’s time to embrace the spirit of the underdog and vote for those who break the mold and make a difference. #BeThe1st

———————————————————————

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

As the election season heats up, the southern states, including Tennessee and North Carolina, have captured our attention. Yet, my focus shifts toward Georgia—not merely for its pivotal role in politics but for what it symbolizes as a “Promised Land” for Voters of Color (VOC). Despite modest population growth in Atlanta, as per the 2020 census, neighboring Athens-Clark County has seen a significant 15% increase. This growth, echoing changes from a decade ago, has granted Georgia additional political influence through an extra congressional seat and an Electoral College vote a decade ago—a reminder of the importance of demographic shifts, similar to those witnessed in North Carolina in 2020.

This year also marks the 60th anniversary of the Freedom Summer, a monumental effort by civil rights groups like CORE, SNCC, and NAACP to dismantle the barriers that African Americans faced in voting, particularly in the Deep South. Fannie Lou Hamer, a valiant Mississippi native, emerged as a national voice for voting rights during this period, notably with her impactful testimony at the 1964 Democratic National Convention.

Reflecting on my initial visit to Atlanta, I recall being invited by Reverend Joseph Lowery to help lead a bus tour through the Deep South—a defining moment of my early organizing career. Despite a delayed arrival due to weather, the warmth of the welcome I received, and the urgency of our mission to reach the Mississippi Delta by sunrise, underscored the relentless spirit of the civil rights movement—a commitment to leaving no one behind.

This ethos of inclusivity and responsibility is something I wish were more prevalent in today’s Congress, especially as they engage in partisan skirmishes over issues like the debt ceiling. Their actions often seem more focused on obstruction than on cooperation, neglecting the urgent needs of our economy and the well-being of our communities.

In places like Georgia, however, Voters of Color are increasingly mobilized, echoing the politically charged atmosphere of past elections, like that of November 3, 1998. That year, VOC represented 30% of the vote share, a figure that helped progressive candidates achieve significant victories. Today, with VOC comprising a substantial portion of Georgia’s electorate, their potential to influence the 2024 elections is immense, particularly in key areas like Atlanta and Athens-Clark County.

From my first journey to Atlanta to the current moment, the lesson remains clear: our strength lies in unity. As we approach 2024, we must continue to foster an environment where every voice is heard and valued, ensuring our democracy truly represents all its people. This is about more than just electoral politics; it’s about reaffirming our commitment to a diverse and vibrant democratic process. This is how we drive forward. #BeThe1st

————————————————————

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

Finally, it’s becoming clear: the influence of just one state in shaping our national dialogue simply cannot be understated. As we witness the conclusion of the presidential nomination process, it’s quite something to see a GOP candidate, embroiled in legal challenges across multiple states, solidify his position with just a 40% core support and a pivotal victory in South Carolina. Remarkably, this candidate chose to bypass debates and campaigning in critical areas such as Jacksonville, FL, where issues like reproductive rights are front and center. His refusal to reconsider his stance on the “dream act” might well stem from a lack of vision. Furthermore, considering that Hispanics make up only 12% of the Republican Party in Florida, it’s likely influencing his approach and rhetoric.

As we delve deeper into this election season, it’s evident that communities of color might very well determine the outcomes of both primaries and general elections. This year marks the 60th anniversary of Freedom Summer, and it feels like we’re at the brink of a similar transformative period. Think back to 2006 in Tennessee, where Harold Ford Jr. not only garnered 51% of the women’s vote but also made significant inroads with young voters and communities of color. His Senate run energized voters nationwide, contributing to a Democratic surge that reclaimed the House and made gains in the Senate and gubernatorial races. Additionally, several states took the bold step of raising the minimum wage during this period.

Let’s consider Florida, where communities of color constitute over 29% of the Citizen Voting Age Population, with 69% registered to vote. Back in 2008, they represented 28.9% of the overall vote, yet a staggering 37.7% didn’t cast their ballots. Imagine the impact in 2024 if we could mobilize every eligible voter, particularly in places like Jacksonville, which has previously demonstrated the potent influence of these communities by electing an African American mayor in the past.

The stakes are significant, with the reapportionment adding a congressional seat in Florida in 2020. We’re set to see pivotal matchups between seasoned conservative incumbents and vibrant progressive newcomers like Marquita Bradshaw for U.S. Senate in Tennessee. The Democrats are just a few victories shy of reclaiming the House, while the Republicans face a steeper climb in the Senate. The dynamics are further complicated by the potential power sharing agreement and tie-breaking role of the Vice President, underscoring the need to secure an outright majority.

Beyond the numbers, the broader implications of these elections are profound. Often, political analysts downplay the strategic importance of communities of color within our political landscape, failing to connect the dots between voter turnout in these communities and overall election results. This year, organizations like PowerPAC have been trailblazers, investing early in these communities during the primaries, a shift from past campaign strategies that only marginally engaged these voters.

This focus not only underscores the sway of communities of color in elections but also pays homage to the legacy of the civil rights movement’s Freedom Summer. The young politicians of color running for office today are not just continuing this legacy—they are defining it, building coalitions, and advocating for a broad spectrum of interests, including environmentalists, Latinos, African Americans, Asians, LGBTQ communities, the Green Tea Party, and Native Americans.

It’s essential that their campaigns receive the backing they need, not only through our votes but through substantial financial and civic support. By investing in communities of color, we’re not merely championing diverse leadership; we are also likely to witness substantial returns in social and economic progress. That’s what it means to engage and empower voters, transforming political capital into real, impactful influence. Let’s make sure our voices are heard, and our votes count more than ever before.

 ————————————————————-

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

As we set our sights on the 2024 elections, it’s imperative that we draw from the lessons of our history to tackle the complexities of today’s political landscape. Not long ago, in the talking friends that live in Atlanta, I found myself amidst a spirited discussion with them about civil rights strategies concerning redistricting. The topic quickly shifted to the significant demographic changes revealed by the 2020 Census. These changes underscore the tremendous potential for historically marginalized communities, especially African Americans and Latinos, to reshape the electoral maps of critical states such as Tennessee, Arizona, and Georgia.

Yet, let us be clear: the road ahead is steep. The last election cycle laid bare the reality that targeted messaging and mobilization by conservative groups could drown out progressive voices, reminiscent of tactics from a decade ago that put our nation’s financial standing at risk and slowed our recovery. However, amidst these challenges, there shines a beacon of hope rooted in increased civic engagement. Research from organizations like the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies illustrates that surges in voter turnout among communities of color can indeed counteract any downturn in progressive voter engagement. For example, in Illinois, the proportion of African American voters increased from 10 percent in 2006 to 19 percent in 2010, sending a progressive leader to the governor’s mansion with a minority of the white vote.

This year we also commemorate the 60th anniversary of Freedom Summer, a defining chapter in 1964 that continues to be a bedrock of our Civil Rights Movement. The courage of heroes like Michael Schwerner, Andrew Goodman, and James Chaney during that summer serves as a poignant reminder of our enduring struggle for fair voting rights. Despite progress, we are confronted with new hurdles, including restrictive laws that threaten to mute many voices in our democratic dialogue, particularly in states like Tennessee.

Our current socio-political environment, marked by threats of presidential impeachment, economic stagnation, and an unresolved immigration system, poses further challenges to our democratic ideals. However, the spirit of the original Freedom Summer drives us to recommit to safeguarding every American’s right to vote, a right enshrined by the 1965 Voting Rights Act. Although setbacks such as the Supreme Court’s weakening of crucial components of this act exist, our determination must not waver. We must guarantee that every citizen can reach the ballot box, despite the obstacles imposed by restrictive voter ID and early voting laws.

Driven by the valor of the past and the urgent need for substantial legislative reforms, our 2024 Freedom Summer campaign is poised to spark a renewed movement for voting rights, focusing on boosting voter registration and participation in communities historically affected by voter suppression.

As we link the lessons of the past with our current endeavors, it is evident that the battle for civil rights and equitable voting rights remains as vital as ever. Let us stand united, raise our voices, and effect real change, honoring the profound sacrifices that have defined our democracy’s narrative. This is our moment to shape a more inclusive future for all. Let’s make our mark—together. #BeThe1st #RealRealty

 ———————————————————————

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

This year marks the 60th anniversary of Freedom Summer, a seminal moment in 1964 that remains a cornerstone of our Civil Rights Movement. It was a summer defined by the bravery of Michael Schwerner, Andrew Goodman, and James Chaney, who faced down immense danger to secure the fundamental right to vote for African Americans. Their sacrifice illuminated the stark injustices of their time, prompting changes in our laws that continue to echo through the decades. Yet, our journey toward truly equitable voting rights is far from complete, as we face new challenges with restrictive laws that risk silencing many voices in our democratic chorus, particularly in places like Tennessee.

In the current climate, where headlines often speak of presidential impeachment threats, a stalled economy, and a broken immigration system, the reality we live in is undeniably complex. Despite this, our economy has seen consistent growth, unemployment is at its lowest in years, and there is a broad consensus on the need for practical immigration reforms. However, the shadow of potential economic downturns looms large, and the emergence of jobs that either pay too little or demand specialized skills does little to alleviate the concerns of those most economically vulnerable among us.

The stagnation in achieving comprehensive immigration reform and a political deadlock exacerbate matters, often serving as excuses for inaction on issues from deportations to border security. This deadlock extends to our voting processes, where new regulations threaten the disenfranchisement of seniors, veterans, and minority voters.

Reflecting on the spirit of the original Freedom Summer, we must reaffirm the critical importance of protecting every American’s right to vote, a right sanctified by the 1965 Voting Rights Act. Despite setbacks such as the Supreme Court’s dismantling of vital parts of this legislation, our commitment must be unwavering—we must ensure that every citizen can access the ballot, even as restrictive voter ID and early voting laws pose fresh barriers.

As we confront these layered challenges, our path forward is clear. We must transcend the usual political maneuvers and strive for substantive legislative reforms. Inspired by the courage shown in 1964, our 2024 Freedom Summer campaign is poised to spark a new movement for voting rights, focusing on amplifying voter registration and turnout in communities of color and areas historically affected by voter suppression.

The 60th anniversary of Freedom Summer isn’t just a moment for reflection—it’s a potent call to shape the story of democracy in America. Let’s ensure every voice is heard, every vote is counted, and continue our unwavering commitment to a future where civil rights are truly upheld for all. This is our tribute to the past and the blueprint for a future that honors the profound sacrifices that brought us here. Let’s stand together, make our voices heard, and forge real change.

 ———————————————————————

Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.