Tag: Election2024

Friends, let me tell you, there’s something truly special about the basketball tournament season. It’s a time when we all come together, filling out those bracket sheets for the WNBA and NBA tournaments, dreaming big for our favorite teams. The magic is in spotting those “Cinderellas” like the Cleveland Cavilers or “underdogs” who rise above the odds and pull off the impossible.

As we edge closer to the final four teams, it’s clear that many long shots won’t make it. Yet, we persist, reworking our brackets with fresh stats, deeper insights, and a bit more heart. Sometimes, we just have to trust our gut.

Watching the elite eight match-up in the NBA got me thinking about Ohio, my home state, and its electoral journey. It reminded me of the times Representatives Marcy Kaptur and former “underdog” Congresswoman Joyce Beatty found themselves in the thick of it during Congress’s low 10% approval rating back in 2012.

Did their electoral outcomes reflect the voters’ instincts? There’s no denying that the sentiment against Washington’s gridlock—be it the debt ceiling standoffs, stalled educational reforms, climate change inaction, or the attacks on women’s healthcare—will resonate in the 2024 elections.

As our economy recovers, and with the rise of U.S. semiconductor chip manufacturing becoming this year’s “Cinderella story,” there’s a renewed sense of hope. Toledo alone has seen an addition of manufacturing jobs. General Motors and Chrysler are hiring more workers, and unemployment has dropped to 3.7%. With the “Chips Act” in motion, manufacturing will soon constitute 18.3% of Ohio’s economy. Middle and working-class voters are moving away from the divisive politics of old, looking instead for leaders who offer economically sound policies.

To win the heartland, politicians need to reignite Franklin Roosevelt’s “Lunch Pail / Hard Hat Coalition.” This modern coalition, embracing progressive Whites, Latinos, African Americans, Asians, Native Americans, unions, and young voters, is the way forward.

Remember the 2006 elections? We saw governorships and Senate seats flip to blue in states like Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Missouri. That was the “Lunch Pail Coalition” at work, with Voters of Color (VOC) playing a critical role. In Ohio’s Cuyahoga County, for instance, VOC made up 14% of the electorate.

Ohio has a rich history of this coalition. African American mayors have led cities like Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, Toledo, Dayton, Youngstown, and Mansfield. This coalition has consistently elected candidates of color, showing the power of unity and shared purpose.

Looking towards November 2024, I remain hopeful. Despite the 2020 census showing a loss of voters, cities like Columbus have grown by 10.6%, adding over 145,000 “key” Voters of Color. This demographic was pivotal in Joyce Beatty’s historic win as the first African American Congressperson from central Ohio. Her success in the 3rd Congressional District showcased the strength of the “Lunch Pail Coalition,” as she mobilized VOC precincts, winning all but one of the twenty highest-turnout precincts.

As we prepare for the upcoming elections, it’s clear that middle and working-class voters have little patience for Congressional obstruction. Why should they? Ohio will see new manufacturing jobs in the future. Just imagine how many more could be created if Congress worked together. As Beatty said on election night, “Our voice will be part of doing new things.” We need leaders who get things done.

So, as we root for our underdogs and fill out our brackets, let’s remember that the real victory lies in electing leaders who listen to the people and work for a better future. It’s time to embrace the spirit of the underdog and vote for those who break the mold and make a difference. #BeThe1st

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Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

As the election season heats up, the southern states, including Tennessee and North Carolina, have captured our attention. Yet, my focus shifts toward Georgia—not merely for its pivotal role in politics but for what it symbolizes as a “Promised Land” for Voters of Color (VOC). Despite modest population growth in Atlanta, as per the 2020 census, neighboring Athens-Clark County has seen a significant 15% increase. This growth, echoing changes from a decade ago, has granted Georgia additional political influence through an extra congressional seat and an Electoral College vote a decade ago—a reminder of the importance of demographic shifts, similar to those witnessed in North Carolina in 2020.

This year also marks the 60th anniversary of the Freedom Summer, a monumental effort by civil rights groups like CORE, SNCC, and NAACP to dismantle the barriers that African Americans faced in voting, particularly in the Deep South. Fannie Lou Hamer, a valiant Mississippi native, emerged as a national voice for voting rights during this period, notably with her impactful testimony at the 1964 Democratic National Convention.

Reflecting on my initial visit to Atlanta, I recall being invited by Reverend Joseph Lowery to help lead a bus tour through the Deep South—a defining moment of my early organizing career. Despite a delayed arrival due to weather, the warmth of the welcome I received, and the urgency of our mission to reach the Mississippi Delta by sunrise, underscored the relentless spirit of the civil rights movement—a commitment to leaving no one behind.

This ethos of inclusivity and responsibility is something I wish were more prevalent in today’s Congress, especially as they engage in partisan skirmishes over issues like the debt ceiling. Their actions often seem more focused on obstruction than on cooperation, neglecting the urgent needs of our economy and the well-being of our communities.

In places like Georgia, however, Voters of Color are increasingly mobilized, echoing the politically charged atmosphere of past elections, like that of November 3, 1998. That year, VOC represented 30% of the vote share, a figure that helped progressive candidates achieve significant victories. Today, with VOC comprising a substantial portion of Georgia’s electorate, their potential to influence the 2024 elections is immense, particularly in key areas like Atlanta and Athens-Clark County.

From my first journey to Atlanta to the current moment, the lesson remains clear: our strength lies in unity. As we approach 2024, we must continue to foster an environment where every voice is heard and valued, ensuring our democracy truly represents all its people. This is about more than just electoral politics; it’s about reaffirming our commitment to a diverse and vibrant democratic process. This is how we drive forward. #BeThe1st

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Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

Finally, it’s becoming clear: the influence of just one state in shaping our national dialogue simply cannot be understated. As we witness the conclusion of the presidential nomination process, it’s quite something to see a GOP candidate, embroiled in legal challenges across multiple states, solidify his position with just a 40% core support and a pivotal victory in South Carolina. Remarkably, this candidate chose to bypass debates and campaigning in critical areas such as Jacksonville, FL, where issues like reproductive rights are front and center. His refusal to reconsider his stance on the “dream act” might well stem from a lack of vision. Furthermore, considering that Hispanics make up only 12% of the Republican Party in Florida, it’s likely influencing his approach and rhetoric.

As we delve deeper into this election season, it’s evident that communities of color might very well determine the outcomes of both primaries and general elections. This year marks the 60th anniversary of Freedom Summer, and it feels like we’re at the brink of a similar transformative period. Think back to 2006 in Tennessee, where Harold Ford Jr. not only garnered 51% of the women’s vote but also made significant inroads with young voters and communities of color. His Senate run energized voters nationwide, contributing to a Democratic surge that reclaimed the House and made gains in the Senate and gubernatorial races. Additionally, several states took the bold step of raising the minimum wage during this period.

Let’s consider Florida, where communities of color constitute over 29% of the Citizen Voting Age Population, with 69% registered to vote. Back in 2008, they represented 28.9% of the overall vote, yet a staggering 37.7% didn’t cast their ballots. Imagine the impact in 2024 if we could mobilize every eligible voter, particularly in places like Jacksonville, which has previously demonstrated the potent influence of these communities by electing an African American mayor in the past.

The stakes are significant, with the reapportionment adding a congressional seat in Florida in 2020. We’re set to see pivotal matchups between seasoned conservative incumbents and vibrant progressive newcomers like Marquita Bradshaw for U.S. Senate in Tennessee. The Democrats are just a few victories shy of reclaiming the House, while the Republicans face a steeper climb in the Senate. The dynamics are further complicated by the potential power sharing agreement and tie-breaking role of the Vice President, underscoring the need to secure an outright majority.

Beyond the numbers, the broader implications of these elections are profound. Often, political analysts downplay the strategic importance of communities of color within our political landscape, failing to connect the dots between voter turnout in these communities and overall election results. This year, organizations like PowerPAC have been trailblazers, investing early in these communities during the primaries, a shift from past campaign strategies that only marginally engaged these voters.

This focus not only underscores the sway of communities of color in elections but also pays homage to the legacy of the civil rights movement’s Freedom Summer. The young politicians of color running for office today are not just continuing this legacy—they are defining it, building coalitions, and advocating for a broad spectrum of interests, including environmentalists, Latinos, African Americans, Asians, LGBTQ communities, the Green Tea Party, and Native Americans.

It’s essential that their campaigns receive the backing they need, not only through our votes but through substantial financial and civic support. By investing in communities of color, we’re not merely championing diverse leadership; we are also likely to witness substantial returns in social and economic progress. That’s what it means to engage and empower voters, transforming political capital into real, impactful influence. Let’s make sure our voices are heard, and our votes count more than ever before.

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Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.

As we set our sights on the 2024 elections, it’s imperative that we draw from the lessons of our history to tackle the complexities of today’s political landscape. Not long ago, in the talking friends that live in Atlanta, I found myself amidst a spirited discussion with them about civil rights strategies concerning redistricting. The topic quickly shifted to the significant demographic changes revealed by the 2020 Census. These changes underscore the tremendous potential for historically marginalized communities, especially African Americans and Latinos, to reshape the electoral maps of critical states such as Tennessee, Arizona, and Georgia.

Yet, let us be clear: the road ahead is steep. The last election cycle laid bare the reality that targeted messaging and mobilization by conservative groups could drown out progressive voices, reminiscent of tactics from a decade ago that put our nation’s financial standing at risk and slowed our recovery. However, amidst these challenges, there shines a beacon of hope rooted in increased civic engagement. Research from organizations like the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies illustrates that surges in voter turnout among communities of color can indeed counteract any downturn in progressive voter engagement. For example, in Illinois, the proportion of African American voters increased from 10 percent in 2006 to 19 percent in 2010, sending a progressive leader to the governor’s mansion with a minority of the white vote.

This year we also commemorate the 60th anniversary of Freedom Summer, a defining chapter in 1964 that continues to be a bedrock of our Civil Rights Movement. The courage of heroes like Michael Schwerner, Andrew Goodman, and James Chaney during that summer serves as a poignant reminder of our enduring struggle for fair voting rights. Despite progress, we are confronted with new hurdles, including restrictive laws that threaten to mute many voices in our democratic dialogue, particularly in states like Tennessee.

Our current socio-political environment, marked by threats of presidential impeachment, economic stagnation, and an unresolved immigration system, poses further challenges to our democratic ideals. However, the spirit of the original Freedom Summer drives us to recommit to safeguarding every American’s right to vote, a right enshrined by the 1965 Voting Rights Act. Although setbacks such as the Supreme Court’s weakening of crucial components of this act exist, our determination must not waver. We must guarantee that every citizen can reach the ballot box, despite the obstacles imposed by restrictive voter ID and early voting laws.

Driven by the valor of the past and the urgent need for substantial legislative reforms, our 2024 Freedom Summer campaign is poised to spark a renewed movement for voting rights, focusing on boosting voter registration and participation in communities historically affected by voter suppression.

As we link the lessons of the past with our current endeavors, it is evident that the battle for civil rights and equitable voting rights remains as vital as ever. Let us stand united, raise our voices, and effect real change, honoring the profound sacrifices that have defined our democracy’s narrative. This is our moment to shape a more inclusive future for all. Let’s make our mark—together. #BeThe1st #RealRealty

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Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.