The Winds of Change: How the 2024 Electoral Map Could Transform #BeThe1st

Every Thursday, I have the joy of taking my son to his baseball practice. There, I watch him master the essentials: fielding, throwing, and hitting, repeating his drills relentlessly to prepare for that crucial moment on the field. As both a father and a coach, I often reflect on Reggie “Mr. October” Jackson’s words: “I’ll tell you what makes a great manager: A great manager has a knack for letting you know they believe in you. They make you get more out of yourself. And once you learn how good you really are, you never settle for playing anything less than your best.” This belief in potential and excellence is fundamental, not just in sports but in every endeavor—including our political engagement.

Recently, I’ve been pondering the GOP’s wavering commitment to civil and human rights. Despite attempts to appeal to Women of Color, recent moves like the Arizona abortion ban make me question whether they risk losing that hard-earned support. The rhetoric around “choice” used by some candidates and their endorsement of restrictive laws have ignited a profound debate. Their silence during crucial Supreme Court decisions speaks volumes about their stance on issues that affect the rights of women and People of Color.

This approach seems to ignore the significant influence that Voters of Color in Arizona hold, relying instead on historical victories like those of McCain and Bush. Yet, the political landscape is shifting—states like Arizona are turning into battlegrounds, reflecting not only demographic changes but evolving sentiments among Voters of Color and women. Remember, Bush attracted over forty percent of the Latino vote in 2004; a retreat from choice issues now could be a gamble with high stakes.

As we look towards 2024, it’s crucial to recognize the power of the voter of color. In Arizona, People of Color constitute a substantial portion of the electorate, with impressive turnout rates in past elections. The demographic growth in key cities like Phoenix, which has seen significant increases in Voters of Color, underscores the potential for shifts in voting patterns. These voters have already demonstrated their impact, electing progressive leaders locally.

The shifting demographics and the potential for increased voter mobilization could redefine the electoral map. If progressives, philanthropists, and political strategists invest wisely in energizing Voters of Color, states like Arizona could solidify their status as pivotal battlegrounds, or even states like Tennessee might shift from red to blue.

In these times of change, the call for a political game-changer is clear. It’s time for leaders who see the potential in every voter and strive to inspire the best in all of us. Just as a good manager in baseball brings out the best in their players, good political leaders must foster confidence and empowerment among voters, driving them to engage and vote at their full potential. The road to 2024 offers an opportunity for such leadership to emerge, capable of transforming not just electoral outcomes but the fabric of our national discourse. Let’s step up to the plate and ensure our political strategies reflect the best of what we can achieve together. #BeThe1st

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Kirk Clay leads Capitol View Advisors with a vision rooted deeply in our shared values, channeling our collective creativity and strategic insight to bridge communities with the essential information and resources they need to elevate and achieve their dreams.


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Author: Kirk Clay Sr.

Kirk Clay Sr. is a Senior Advisor, Analyst and Strategist. Currently, he leads many efforts. He is responsible for the strategic and operational leadership of Capitol View Advisors. This includes publicly representing the collaborative, overseeing acquisition and guiding the overall program implementation with institutional and individual contributors. Before that, Kirk Clay served as a Senior Advisor to PowerPAC+ where he built and led management systems, structures, and measures for the “start-up” business. Recently, he led an independent expenditure to elect U.S. Senator Cory Booker. Also, he served as the national field director during the 2008 primary season where he raised $10 million and led an effort that mobilized more than 500,000 voters in ten states. Between 2008 and 2011, Mr. Clay was the National Civic Engagement Director for the NAACP where he was responsible for developing and implementing political research, advocacy and training agenda. Under his leadership, the NAACP executed three 4.0 style voter mobilization campaigns and a national census effort to increase civic participation rates in 2008, 2009, and 2010. Mr. Clay’s background includes serving as the Treasurer for the PTA, Director of Outreach for Common Cause, Deputy Director for the National Coalition on Black Civic Participation, Deputy Field Director for People For the American Way, Vice Chair of the Census Information Center Steering Committee, Lead Trainer / Administrator for Democratic National Committee, White House Intern and Senior Advisor. He lives in Washington, DC with his wife and three children. His hobbies include traveling, cooking, and listening to jazz. He is a popular political blogger and is active on twitter @kirkclay and Blog: kirkclay.com capitolviewadvisors.com

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